Tuesday, 11 November 2025

India Postpones Full-Scale Crypto Regulation, Keeps Tight Control on Stablecoin Integration 3:19 PM 11/11/2025

 

 


 

 

India appears inclined to avoid enacting comprehensive cryptocurrency legislation, opting instead for limited regulatory oversight. 

According to a government document reviewed by Reuters, authorities fear that integrating digital assets into the formal financial system could introduce systemic vulnerabilities. 

The document highlights the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) stance that effectively mitigating cryptocurrency-related risks through regulation alone would be challenging in practice.

Global cryptocurrency adoption has accelerated since U.S. President Donald Trump took office, with Bitcoin the world’s largest digital asset by market capitalization reaching record valuation levels. 

The United States has also introduced legislation enabling the broader use of stable coins, digital tokens backed by fiat currencies to reduce price volatility. Meanwhile, China continues to enforce a ban on cryptocurrencies but is reportedly exploring a Yuan-pegged stable coin, according to Reuters.

 In contrast, Japan and Australia are in the process of building regulatory frameworks for virtual assets, maintaining a measured and cautious approach rather than aggressively promoting the sector.


According to a government document prepared this month, introducing cryptocurrency regulations in India could confer unintended “legitimacy” on digital assets and potentially make the sector systemically significant. 

Conversely, while an outright prohibition could address the speculative and high-risk nature of cryptocurrencies, it would fail to curb peer-to-peer transactions or decentralized exchange (DEX) activity, the document noted.

These internal assessments mark the first formal articulation of India’s evolving crypto policy stance. Both the Ministry of Finance and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) declined to comment on Reuters’ queries.

India had earlier drafted a 2021 bill to ban private cryptocurrencies, but the legislation was never enacted. 

During its G20 presidency in 2023, India advocated for a globally coordinated regulatory framework for digital assets.

 In 2024, the government planned to release a discussion paper outlining its crypto policy, but deferred the move pending U.S. regulatory developments and the formal adoption of stable coin oversight mechanisms.



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Saturday, 8 November 2025

Bitcoin has had a rough start to November ( Bitcoin Price Prediction for November 2025 ) 3:15 PM 08/11/2025

 

 

 

 


 


Bitcoin has had a rough start to November. It dropped to just under US $100,000 after having hit all-time highs of around US $126,000 in October. 

 In one month the crypto market wiped out most of its 2025 gains.

 On the positive side, Bitcoin rebounded slightly and was trading around US $102,000 as of early November, supported by signs of accumulation. 


While sentiment is cautious, one large institutional player, JPMorgan, recently turned bullish: they argue that the major deleveraging phase is over and that Bitcoin now offers significant upside compared to gold.
 

What’s Driving the Move
 

Deleveraging & liquidations


Bitcoin’s sharp pullback can be traced to a wave of leveraged bets unwinding and forced liquidations. Analysts say the perpetual‐futures market (highly leveraged) saw major pain, and now that lever is mostly gone.
 

 

 Macro and regulatory headwinds


The broader macro environment has weighed heavily. Uncertainty around interest‐rates (e.g., signals from the Federal Reserve), global trade/tariff concerns, and regulatory questions in crypto markets have dampened risk‐appetite. For example, sentiment‐sensitive assets like Bitcoin are reacting to the same forces that affect equities. 


 Support signs whale buying & ETF flows


Despite the pullback, there are glimmers of support. Large “whale” wallets (address 1,000–10,000 BTC size) added some 29,600 BTC in a week. 

 Renewed inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs after multiple days of outflows also suggest investors are cautiously re-entering. 

 

 Institutional adoption / fund interest


A survey of hedge funds by the Alternative Investment Management Association (AIMA) found that 55 % of hedge funds now hold some crypto. That’s up from prior years. This adds to the argument that Bitcoin is becoming more embedded in institutional portfolios. 


 Outlook & Key Levels

Analysts are watching a number of critical levels and scenarios:
 

Support near US $100,000 is viewed as a key pivot. If broken decisively, further downside toward US $90,000–$94,000 becomes plausible.

 On the upside, resistance lies around US $110,000–US $113,000 (also the 200‐day moving average) and a move above that could unlock higher targets toward US $120,000+.

 From a valuation angle, JPMorgan estimates that to match gold on a volatility‐adjusted basis, Bitcoin “should” rise to about US $170,000 within 6–12 months.



On balance, the setup appears cautiously optimistic the major risk (over‐leverage) may have been cleared; accumulation is visible; support is being tested. But macro/regulatory risks remain non-trivial.


What to Watch

ETF flows & custody Net flows into/out of spot Bitcoin ETFs will give clues to demand strength.

Large wallet behaviour  Continued accumulation by whales might signal conviction; big outflows might signal the opposite.

Macro/regulatory signals  Any surprise from the Fed, major central bank statements, or crypto‐regulation news (in the US, Europe, Asia) will matter.

Key support/resistance breaks  A break below US $100,000 could trigger deeper correction; a breakout above US $113,000 could renew bullish momentum.

Correlation with risk assets See how much Bitcoin is moving in tandem with equities, bonds and risk sentiment. A rising decoupling could be a positive sign.

 

 

 

November 2025 finds Bitcoin at an inflection point. It has pulled back from its highs, shaken off excess leverage, and is showing tentative signs of stabilization. Institutional sentiment has turned cautiously positive, though macro and regulatory clouds remain. The next few weeks will be telling: if support holds and flows resume, Bitcoin could set up for a 2025‐end push. If not, the correction risk remains.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Thursday, 6 November 2025

Comparison between Bitcoin ( Digital Gold ) and Real Gold 04:30 06/11/2025

  

 


 

 

 

Feature

Bitcoin (BTC)

Gold (XAU)

Nature

Digital currency (decentralized)

Physical precious metal

Launch / Existence

Created in 2009 by Satoshi Nakamoto

Mined and used for over 5,000 years

Supply Limit

Capped at 21 million BTC

Limited by physical extraction, but technically infinite over time

Form

Digital asset stored on blockchain

Tangible metal stored in vaults

Divisibility

Infinitely divisible (1 BTC = 100 million satoshis)

Divisible but limited physically

Portability

Instantly transferable worldwide

Difficult and expensive to move physically

Storage & Security

Digital wallets, exchanges, or cold storage

Physical vaults, central banks

Volatility

High (price can swing 5–10% daily)

Low-to-moderate (historically stable)

Market Hours

24/7 trading

Limited to market hours (gold exchanges)



 Store of Value: Old vs New

 
Gold has been humanity’s oldest and most trusted store of value  a tangible asset that holds worth through war, inflation, and currency collapse.

Bitcoin, often dubbed “digital gold,” was designed to replicate these properties in the digital age, but with added advantages: portability, transparency, and decentralization.


Gold is trusted because of its physical scarcity and long history.

Bitcoin is trusted because of its algorithmic scarcity (21 million coins) and cryptographic security.

However, Bitcoin’s short track record (16 years) compared to gold’s 5,000-year legacy makes traditional investors cautious.


 

 

 Inflation Hedge Who Wins

Both assets are often used as inflation hedges, but they behave differently:
 

Gold Historically rises during high inflation or economic instability. Example: Gold soared during the 1970s oil crises and the 2008 recession.

Bitcoin Has shown mixed performance  it sometimes acts as a hedge, but also behaves like a risk asset (correlating with tech stocks).
 

 Gold is still the more reliable hedge in short-term crises, while Bitcoin’s inflation-hedge potential is long-term and speculative.

 

 Scarcity and Supply

 
Gold Supply grows slowly (1–2% annually through mining).

Bitcoin Supply is mathematically fixed  new BTC is released only through mining rewards, which halve every 4 years (the Bitcoin Halving).

This makes Bitcoin’s scarcity predictable and transparent, unlike gold, where future discoveries or new mining technologies could alter supply.



 Utility and Use Cases
 

Gold Used in jewelry, electronics, and as a central bank reserve asset.

Bitcoin Primarily used for digital payments, remittances, decentralized finance (DeFi), and as a speculative investment asset.

Bitcoin’s utility grows with adoption and innovation such as the Lightning Network enabling near-instant global payments  while gold’s utility is mostly physical and industrial.



 

 

 Volatility and Risk

Bitcoin’s price can fluctuate 10x more than gold’s in the same period.

Gold might move 1–2% in a volatile week.

Bitcoin can move 10–15% in a single day.
This makes Bitcoin attractive for traders but risky for conservative investors. Gold, in contrast, is a stability anchor for central banks and institutions.

 

 

 Regulation and Acceptance
 

Gold Fully legal, regulated, and held by central banks worldwide.

Bitcoin Legal in most countries but still facing regulatory uncertainty in taxation, custody, and anti-money-laundering laws.



However, acceptance is rising countries like El Salvador have adopted Bitcoin as legal tender, and spot Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S. and Asia have legitimized institutional investment.

 

 

 Portability and Accessibility

This is where Bitcoin dominates:
 

 Bitcoin can be sent anywhere on Earth in minutes, with minimal cost.

 Gold requires secure transport, insurance, and storage.

A person can store millions in Bitcoin on a USB stick or mobile wallet — impossible with physical gold.

 

 

 

 Market Liquidity and Size
 

Gold Market Cap $14 trillion globally.

Bitcoin Market Cap (Nov 2025) $2 trillion(fluctuating with price).

Gold is still 7x larger in value, but Bitcoin’s liquidity has grown rapidly through ETFs, exchanges, and institutional adoption  narrowing the gap year by year.

 

 

Correlation with Traditional Markets
 

Gold Usually has negative correlation with stocks rises when markets fall.

Bitcoin Often has positive correlation with tech stocks  tends to fall during market sell-offs.

As Bitcoin matures, analysts expect its correlation to weaken, making it behave more like a true safe-haven asset, similar to gold.

 

 

Environmental Impact

Both face environmental scrutiny


Gold mining causes deforestation, toxic waste, and heavy CO₂ emissions.

Bitcoin mining consumes high energy but increasingly uses renewable power and carbon-neutral mining methods.

While Bitcoin’s energy use draws criticism, it is measurable and improving  unlike the opaque and destructive global gold supply chain.
 

 

 

Future Outlook

Factor

Bitcoin’s Direction

Gold’s Direction

Technology

Expanding rapidly through Lightning, tokenization, and ETFs

Limited innovation potential

Adoption

Rising among youth, fintech, and institutions

Stable, dominated by central banks

Volatility

May reduce as institutional ownership increases

Remains low

Growth Potential

High (early-stage digital economy asset)

Moderate (mature asset)


In the long run, Bitcoin could complement or partially replace gold as a global store of value, especially for digital-native generations.


Summary Table Key Differences

Category

Bitcoin (BTC)

Gold (XAU)

Launch Year

2009

Prehistoric

Total Supply

21 million BTC

Unknown (continuous mining)

Storage

Digital wallets

Vaults, reserves

Transfer Speed

Seconds to minutes

Days to weeks

Volatility

Very High

Low

Tangibility

Digital

Physical

Inflation Hedge

Emerging

Proven

Government Role

Decentralized

Centralized (held by banks)

Long-Term Outlook

Disruptive potential

Conservative stability



Gold remains the ultimate safe-haven asset, trusted by governments and investors for centuries.

Bitcoin represents the next evolution of that concept  a programmable, border less, and deflationary asset designed for the digital economy.

In 2025, many analysts believe a balanced portfolio includes both  Gold for stability, and Bitcoin for growth.


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


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India Postpones Full-Scale Crypto Regulation, Keeps Tight Control on Stablecoin Integration 3:19 PM 11/11/2025

        India appears inclined to avoid enacting comprehensive cryptocurrency legislation, opting instead for limited regulatory oversight. ...