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Thursday, 6 November 2025

Bitcoin Price Rebound to ~$104K — But Why the Market Still Feels Fragile 03:30 PM 06/11/2025

 

 


 

Bitcoin price rebounds to $104,000 after dipping below $100K, but experts warn that macroeconomic pressure, slowing institutional inflows, and whale sell-offs keep the market fragile. Here’s a deep analysis of Bitcoin’s current state on November 6, 2025.
 

 Bitcoin price today, BTC rebound, Bitcoin long-term holders, crypto news November 2025, Bitcoin technical analysis, institutional crypto adoption

 

 

A Brief Recovery After the Fall

After a week of turbulence, Bitcoin (BTC) has staged a modest comeback, climbing back to the $104,000 mark on November 6, 2025. The recovery comes after a sharp decline that briefly sent prices below $100K, sparking widespread fear in the market.



However, analysts warn that this is not yet a confirmed recovery rather, it’s a technical bounce following an oversold period. Bitcoin’s 3% gain over the last 24 hours offers short-term relief but not enough conviction for a sustainable rally.

The $100K level remains the key psychological threshold — a line that separates panic from patience in the minds of traders and investors worldwide.

 

 

 The Significance of the $100K Line

Crossing below and rebounding above $100,000 carries symbolic power. It’s not just another round number; it’s a sentiment marker. When Bitcoin fell below it, panic-selling and liquidations swept through major exchanges.

Traders rushed to protect their margins, and leveraged positions worth billions were liquidated. Now that BTC has climbed back above that mark, optimism is returning — but cautiously.

Experts say Bitcoin needs to stay above $105K–$108K for several days, supported by higher trading volume, to confirm a genuine reversal. Until then, the market remains in **“recovery watch” mode** rather than full bullish trend.

 

 

Fragile Foundations Behind the Rebound

Despite the rise, Bitcoin’s foundation remains unstable due to several global and market-specific pressures:

 Macroeconomic Tensions

Rising bond yields, sticky inflation, and delayed interest-rate cuts from the U.S. Federal Reserve have squeezed liquidity. When rates stay high, investors prefer safe government yields over volatile crypto assets, limiting Bitcoin’s growth potential.




This “macro drag” has been the biggest weight on Bitcoin’s 2025 performance.



 Institutional Slowdown

Spot Bitcoin ETFs that once fueled the 2025 bull run are seeing a slowdown in inflows. Institutional demand that once drove Bitcoin to record highs earlier this year has cooled as big investors await clearer economic signals.

Without consistent institutional buying, the market loses one of its strongest pillars of support.

 

 

 Whale Selling  The Hidden Risk

Long-term holders, often referred to as “whales”, have sold more than $45 billion worth of BTC since mid-October, according to on-chain data. These are wallets that typically remain inactive for months or even years.

Their profit-taking signals a change in market psychology — from long-term conviction to cautious repositioning. When these large holders sell, it creates added downward pressure on the market.

 

 

Technical Picture Still Uncertain

Bitcoin’s short-term technical indicators reveal why traders are hesitant:
 

RSI (Relative Strength Index) is hovering near 42  neither oversold nor bullish.

50-day Moving Average (MA) has slipped below the 20-day MA, suggesting short-term weakness.

Resistance levels  $105,800 and $108,500.

Support levels $98,000 and $96,000.

Unless BTC breaks above $108K with conviction, many analysts expect the market to remain range-bound between $98K–$106K through mid-November.

 

 

Long-Term Vision Still Strong

While short-term traders remain cautious, long-term investors and corporations continue to see potential in Bitcoin’s fundamentals.

For instance, B HODL PLC, a UK-based firm, recently announced a 10 BTC purchase and revealed it earned an annualized yield of 6.04% from Bitcoin operations. The company plans to scale up its treasury and Lightning Network activity — a sign that some corporations are using Bitcoin for strategic yield and payment infrastructure, not just speculation.


Meanwhile, venture capital funding in Bitcoin-focused startups remains healthy, especially for Lightning Network  and Layer-2 scalability projects. These moves support Bitcoin’s long-term adoption story, even as the short-term chart looks shaky.

 

 

 Risk Rotation Altcoins and DeFi Attract Traders

As Bitcoin struggles to reclaim upward momentum, some traders have rotated capital into altcoins and DeFi tokens.


Sectors like PayFi (payment finance) and smart contract networks such as Solana, Avalanche, and Cosmos have seen modest gains of 5–8%.

However, such rotations are short-lived. Altcoins tend to follow Bitcoin’s direction, and if BTC drops below $100K again, most of the broader crypto market will likely correct in unison.

 

 

 Big Picture Market Maturity Through Volatility

The current market phase marks a maturation point for Bitcoin. Unlike past cycles where sentiment alone drove prices, today’s BTC is deeply connected to global economic variables, institutional trends, and regulatory clarity.

Each price swing now reflects broader macro forces rather than simple hype. While that brings volatility, it also makes Bitcoin’s market structure more sophisticated and resilient.

Corrections like this serve an important role: they flush out excessive leverage, rebalance demand, and allow long-term investors to accumulate at more stable levels.



 Outlook for the Rest of November 2025


In the short term, Bitcoin’s challenge is to maintain stability above $100K and rebuild trading confidence.

If BTC consolidates between $102K–$106K with steady inflows, it could aim for $115K by late November. But if macro pressures persist and whales continue selling, a drop toward $92K–$95K cannot be ruled out.

In the long run, however, Bitcoin’s fundamentals remain strong

 

 Institutional frameworks are solidifying.

 Lightning Network adoption is rising.

 Global Bitcoin treasury usage is increasing.

The current weakness may simply be a pause  not the end in Bitcoin’s 2025 growth story.

 Bitcoin’s return to $104,000 is a small but meaningful victory after weeks of market stress. The move signals that buyers are still active  yet the foundation remains fragile due to macro pressures, reduced institutional flows, and whale activity.

For investors, this is a moment of strategic patience, not panic. Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory still points upward, but the path will likely remain volatile as the asset adapts to its new, globally interconnected reality.

Disclaimer

This article is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial or investment advice. Cryptocurrency investments are subject to market risks. Always do your own research (DYOR) and consult a certified financial advisor before investing.



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Wednesday, 5 November 2025

Bitcoin Whales Cash Out Inside the $45 Billion Sell-Off Shaking the Crypto Market

 

 

 


 

 

 

 In November 2025, long-term Bitcoin holders known as “whales”sold more than $45 billion worth of BTC, pushing prices below $100K. Learn why whales are selling, what it means for investors, and how to read the market cycle.
 

 

Who Are the Bitcoin Whales.

In the world of crypto, whales are wallet addresses holding 1,000 BTC or more entities powerful enough to move the market. They include early adopters, institutional funds, exchanges, and even governments.

When whales buy, prices soar. When they sell, the tide turns.

Recent data from Bloomberg and Glassnode show whales dumped nearly 400,000 BTC (~$45 billion) in the last 30 days—one of the largest sell-offs since 2021.

 

 

 

Why Are Whales Selling Now.

 
 Profit-Taking After Record Highs

After Bitcoin hit a record $125,000 in early October 2025, whales began realizing profits. Most accumulated coins during the 20K–40K bear market years.
Now they’re cashing out strategically while still in profit.



 Weakening Global Risk Appetite

With global inflation, a strong U.S. dollar, and higher bond yields, investors are fleeing risky assets. Whales see this and exit early to avoid deeper drawdowns.


 ETF Demand Cooling

After the 2025 U.S. Bitcoin ETF approval boom, institutional inflows are slowing. Whales interpret this as the market losing momentum.


 Miner & Supply Pressure

Post-halving miner revenue dropped, forcing miners to sell BTC to cover energy costs. Combined with whale selling, this flooded the market with supply.

 Regulatory Uncertainty

Upcoming global tax and disclosure rules for large crypto holdings have triggered portfolio restructuring among big players.


Market Impact: Shockwaves Across Crypto
 

Bitcoin dropped below $100,000, marking a 20 % decline in two weeks.

 Over $1.5 billion in leveraged long positions were liquidated.

 The Fear & Greed Index fell from 74 (Greed) to 38 (Fear).

 Altcoins like ETH, SOL, and AVAX dropped between 15–25 %.

Whale dominance still shapes the market: a handful of wallets can influence billions in liquidity and sentiment.

 

 

 Analysts Split: Panic or Opportunity?

Bearish Camp

Analysts warn that if Bitcoin fails to hold $100K, it could slide toward $72K–$80K.
They see this as a mini bear phase following an overheated bull run.



Bullish Camp


Others view whale selling as a healthy reset—a chance for retail accumulation before the next leg up.
Historically, such phases precede long-term rallies once new demand absorbs the supply.



Disclaimer

This article is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial or investment advice. Cryptocurrency investments are subject to market risks. Always do your own research (DYOR) and consult a certified financial advisor before investing.



















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The Great Whale Sell-Off Why Long-Term Bitcoin Holders Are Cashing Out

 

 

 


 

In early November 2025, Bitcoin markets faced a sudden and sharp decline, slipping below the psychological $100,000 mark for the first time since mid-year. Analysts quickly traced the source of selling pressure to a familiar but powerful force within the crypto ecosystem — the whales.
These are the investors who hold massive amounts of Bitcoin, often ranging from thousands to tens of thousands of coins each. When these long-term holders begin selling in large volumes, their actions ripple through the entire digital-asset market.

According to Bloomberg and on-chain data firms like CryptoQuant and Glassnode, Bitcoin whales have offloaded roughly 400,000 BTC (valued at more than $45 billion) over the last 30 days. This is one of the largest coordinated selling periods since the 2021 and 2022 downturns — and it’s reshaping the short-term outlook for Bitcoin’s price trajectory.
 

 

 

 

Who Are Bitcoin Whales?

In blockchain terminology, a “whale” refers to a wallet or entity holding a substantial amount of cryptocurrency — typically 1,000 BTC or more. Some are individual early adopters, while others are institutional investors, hedge funds, crypto exchanges, or even nation-states.

Whales are important to track because:
 

 Their buying or selling patterns can drastically influence market liquidity and sentiment.

They often have deep insights or strategies that anticipate market changes.

 Historically, whale movements have preceded major market rallies or corrections.

When they sell, it’s often seen as a warning signal either that they expect prices to drop or that they’re rebalancing portfolios in anticipation of macroeconomic shifts.

 

What Triggered the Recent Whale Selling.

Several interconnected factors are pushing these large holders to liquidate portions of their Bitcoin reserves:
 

 

 Profit-Taking After Record Highs

Bitcoin hit a new all-time high of around $125,000 in early October 2025 following strong ETF inflows and institutional demand. Many whales who accumulated during the 2022–2023 bear market were sitting on massive unrealized gains.
As price momentum slowed and on-chain data showed weakening retail inflows, large holders began taking profits before potential pullbacks — locking in billions in gains.

 Weakening Global Risk Appetite.



Macroeconomic conditions have turned cautious. A strong U.S. dollar, rising global bond yields, and concerns about inflation persistence are tightening liquidity across financial markets.
When liquidity shrinks, high-risk assets like Bitcoin and tech stocks tend to decline as investors shift to safer assets. Whales, anticipating this move, often front-run retail investors by exiting early.

 ETF Saturation and Slower Institutional Inflows.

After the U.S. approved several spot Bitcoin ETFs earlier in 2025, institutional demand initially surged. However, recent data show that inflows have plateaued.


When ETF demand softens, it reduces one of the strongest sources of new buying pressure. Whales, observing this stagnation, may have decided that the “easy upside” was over  at least temporarily.
 

 On-Chain Liquidity and Miner Pressure

Bitcoin miners, facing increased energy costs and post-halving reductions in block rewards, have also been selling part of their reserves to maintain operations.


Combined with whale liquidations, this created a supply glut, overwhelming the available spot demand.

 

 Regulatory and Political Uncertainty

Several markets  notably the U.S. and Europe  are debating stricter reporting and taxation requirements for crypto holdings above certain thresholds. Some large holders may be repositioning assets offshore or through stablecoins to reduce regulatory exposure.

 

The Market Impact of Whale Selling

The results have been immediate and dramatic
 

Price Volatility Spikes Bitcoin’s price dropped nearly 20 % in just two weeks, falling from around $120,000 to below $100,000.

Long-Liquidations Surge Over $1.5 billion in leveraged long positions were liquidated across major exchanges within 72 hours, according to Coinglass.

Investor Sentiment Weakens Social-media and sentiment metrics show fear creeping back into the market.


Altcoin Market Shock As usual, altcoins followed Bitcoin’s lead — Ethereum, Solana, and Avalanche all dropped 15–25 % during the same period.

The sell-off highlights how concentrated ownership in Bitcoin can still create systemic tremors. Even though overall adoption has expanded globally, a relatively small number of large holders continue to control a significant portion of total circulating supply.

 

 

 Is This a Long-Term Threat or a Short-Term Shakeout.

Opinions are divided among analysts
:

Bearish View (Short-Term Pain)

Those in the bearish camp argue that the whale exodus reflects exhaustion in the bull cycle.
 

With fewer new retail entrants and overbought conditions in both crypto and equities, they see a correction toward $72,000–$80,000 as both natural and necessary for consolidation.

 They warn that the psychological breach of $100,000 could trigger another wave of algorithmic and institutional selling.


Bullish View (Healthy Reset)

Optimists interpret the whale activity as market rotation, not capitulation.
 

Historically, whale distribution often precedes a phase of  retail accumulation that resets the base for the next bull run.

 The long-term fundamentals — including institutional adoption, global de-dollarization trends, and upcoming sovereign-fund interest — remain intact.


On-Chain Data Insights

Blockchain analytics platforms like Glassnode and IntoTheBlock provide quantitative evidence supporting these trends:
 

Exchange Inflows There’s been a 30 % rise in BTC flowing into exchanges — a classic sign of selling intent.

Dormancy Metrics Coins that hadn’t moved for 2–3 years are suddenly being transferred, indicating long-term holders are realizing profits.

Whale Wallet Count The number of addresses holding over 1,000 BTC dropped from 2,180 to 2,035 in October, confirming distribution.

Network Health Despite the selling, network activity remains strong, suggesting that user adoption and transaction utility are not collapsing.

This suggests a rotation, not a mass exodus.

 

 

Broader Implications for the Bitcoin Ecosystem
 

 

 Short-Term Turbulence

Traders should expect heightened volatility in the coming weeks as the market digests whale distributions. Short squeezes, fake breakouts, and range-bound trading could dominate until new equilibrium is found.


 Long-Term Opportunity


Historically, whale-driven corrections have presented excellent accumulation zones for patient investors.


For example, major whale distributions in 2017, 2021, and 2022 were followed by multi-month corrections but ultimately gave way to new all-time highs once selling pressure subsided.
 

 

Market Maturity

The current episode also demonstrates a maturing Bitcoin market. Unlike in previous cycles, institutional products like ETFs, custody solutions, and derivatives now absorb part of the impact, helping prices stabilize faster.


 Psychological Shift


As Bitcoin surpasses six-figure valuations, investor psychology evolves.
Whales, now managing multi-billion-dollar portfolios, are behaving more like traditional financial institutions — actively hedging, taking profits, and managing risk rather than simply “HODLing.”

 

 

 The Road Ahead: Key Levels to Watch
 

Support: $96,000 → $92,500 → $80,000 (major support zone).

Resistance $105,000 → $112,000 → $120,000 (short-term ceilings).

Macro Trigger Points U.S. inflation data, interest-rate guidance, ETF flows, and miner profitability.

If Bitcoin can reclaim and hold $100,000, the market could regain confidence quickly. But if it falls below $90,000, analysts warn that the correction could deepen toward $72,000 before stabilization.

Disclaimer

This article is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial or investment advice. Cryptocurrency investments are subject to market risks. Always do your own research (DYOR) and consult a certified financial advisor before investing.















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